「不労所得で生活できたらいいな」
「競馬だけで生活ってできるの？」
「複勝って結果最強なの？」
このように思っている方も多いでしょう。
競馬好きなら、競馬の複勝だけで生活したいと思うのでは？
趣味や好きなことで生活できたら、きっと毎日楽しいはず。
実際に複勝だけで生活している人はいるのです。
しかし、複勝だけで生活するにはいくつかの注意点があります。
当記事では、注意点や的中率を上げるコツをご紹介します。
複勝だけで生活することを検討している方は参考にしてください。
複勝だけで生活する注意点とは？
複勝だけで生活する場合の注意点は以下の3つです。
・多めの資金が必要になる
・収入が安定しない可能性がある
・意外と贅沢な生活ができない
複勝だけで生活をはじめる前に知っておくべきことなので、1つずつ解説します。
多めの資金が必要になる
複勝賞金だけで生活するには、最低でも月20万円は必要でしょう。
月20万円稼ぐには月間の回収率が120％だとして、投資金額は100万円を準備しなければなりません。
月30万円稼ぎたいなら、投資金額は150万円必要になります。
理由として複勝は当たる確率が高い分、回収率は低くなるからです。
最低でも100万円を超える投資資金が必要となると、複勝だけで生計を立てるのは難しいといえるでしょう。
収入が安定しない可能性がある
複勝生活は収入が安定しない可能性があります。
会社員として勤めていたら、毎月安定した固定収入があるでしょう。
しかし複勝生活では、予想が当たらなければ収入はありません。
固定収入があったうえで、競馬を予想していたときとは状況が大きく異なります。
常に不安との戦いとなり、精神的に不安定になるかもしれません。
日々ハラハラドキドキする状況を楽しめる人なら、複勝生活は向いているでしょう。
しかし、経済的に余裕がなく、しかもストレスを抱えやすい人が複勝生活をするには相当の覚悟が必要です。
意外と贅沢な生活ができない
複勝生活では、意外と贅沢な生活はできないでしょう。
当然のことながら競馬はギャンブルであり、確実な収益を保証することは難しいです。
大勝しても次回は負けることもあります。
収入が安定しないのに、毎月一定額の生活費は必要です。
生活費が底をつく状況にならないよう貯金をしておかねばなりません。
贅沢な生活というより、むしろ倹約生活を目指す人もいるでしょう。
毎月の固定費を削れば生活費が少なくなり、競馬に回せる資金が増えるからです。
複勝生活を維持することは非常に高いリスクを伴い、安定性が低いため、贅沢な生活を送ることは難しいといえます。
競馬だけで生活するなら複勝がオススメな2つの理由
競馬だけで生活するなら複勝がオススメな2つの理由は、以下の通りです。
的中率が圧倒的に高い
控除率が低い
的中率が圧倒的に高い
複勝の的中率が圧倒的に高いことが、下記の表からわかります。
| 馬券種 | 的中率 |
| 複勝 | 約16.6％ |
| 単勝 | 約5.5％ |
| 枠連 | 約2.77％ |
| ワイド | 約1.96％ |
| 枠単 | 約1.38％ |
| 馬連 | 約0.65％ |
| 馬単 | 約0.32％ |
| 3連複 | 約0.12％ |
| 3連単 | 約0.02％ |
複勝は1〜3着になる馬を1頭当てる馬券なので、的中率は高くなります。
10頭立てのレースなら、10頭の中の3頭が複勝で当たりになる計算です。
複勝1点買いすれば、的中率は30%になります。
ただし、複勝は的中率を上げやすいですがオッズが低いことが多いため、勝ちやすいが利益は出しにくいといえます。
購入率が低い不人気の馬を的中させることが複勝の醍醐味でしょう。
控除率が低い
複勝がオススメな2つ目の理由は控除率が低いからです。
競馬の控除率とは「馬券の総売上のうち手数料として引かれる金額の割合」のこと。
JRAの競馬レースでの控除率は約25％。
つまり、総売上の約4分の1が手数料として差し引かれるのです。
控除された25％のうち、10％は国庫納付金、15％はJRAの運営に充てられます。
ただし馬券の種類によって控除率が違うため、控除率を考慮して馬券を買うことが重要です。
最も低いのは単勝と複勝で、控除率は20%です。
一方、控除率が最も高いのはWIN5で30％、続いて3連単の27.5％。
高配当になりやすい券種ほど、控除率が高くなっていますよね。
長期的にプラス収支にするには、控除率が最も低い複勝や単勝が良いといえます。
複勝の的中率を上げるコツ4選
複勝の的中率を上げるコツは、以下の4つです。
・基本的に1点買い
・実力が拮抗してるレースは避ける
・騎手が変わっている馬は避ける
・4〜10番人気の馬を狙う
基本的に1点買い
複勝の的中率を上げるコツは、基本的に1点買いすることです。
なぜなら複数頭の馬が入着すれば払い戻しは増えますが、トリガミ（２点以上買って的中しても利益が出ないこと）になる可能性が高くなります。
複勝は3着までなら、当たりという的中率の高い馬券です。
複勝で複数点買いをすることは、複勝のメリットが減少する可能性があります。
1点買いが不安で絞れないレースなら、勝負するレースを見直しましょう。
複勝は潔く1点買いで、コツコツ当てて稼ぐことが重要となります。
実力が拮抗してるレースは避ける
複勝の的中率を上げるコツは、実力が拮抗してるレースは避けることです。
実力が拮抗しているということは、馬の能力や調子が非常に似通っているということです。
予想が難しい分、当たると多くの払い戻しが期待できますが、外れる可能性の方が高いでしょう。
馬の成績や能力に明確な優劣がある場合に賭けた方が、利益を追求するうえで有利です。
拮抗したレースに賭けるのはエキサイティングですが、複勝で生活するには当てることを最優先に考えましょう。
騎手が変わっている馬は避ける
騎手が変わっている馬は要注意です。
騎手は騎乗を重ねて馬の能力や癖を把握します。
騎手が変わったということは、勝てない馬と騎手が判断した可能性が高いのです。
勝てる馬なら他の騎手に譲らず、自分が継続して騎乗するはず。
騎手の実力によって、馬のパフォーマンスや戦術が変化することもあります。
しかし、過去の成績を見て騎手が安定しない馬は避けたほうが無難です。
4〜10番人気の馬を狙う
複勝の的中率を上げるコツは、4〜10番人気の馬を狙うことです。
複勝は他の馬券に比べてオッズが低いため、人気馬の複勝では稼げません。
4〜10番人気の馬は、一般的には人気が低い馬といえるでしょう。
しかし、4〜10番人気の馬でも状態や距離に合った馬が複勝に入る可能性は高いのです。
これらの馬が複勝圏内に入った場合、複勝の配当額は高くなる傾向にあります。
低人気馬が複勝に入ると、魅力的なリターンが期待できるのです。
複勝で生活するなら的中率は捨てよう！！
複勝で生活するなら的中率は捨てましょう。
複勝馬券で生活していくには、気にする必要があるのは的中率ではなく、回収率だからです。
的中率が高まっても、投資した金額に対してプラス収支でなければ意味がありません。
回収率は投資した金額に対してどれだけ回収できたかを表す指標で、100%を超えればプラス収支ということになります。
複勝での回収率を計算して、投資金額を回収できているのかチェックすることが重要です。
的中率が高まれば、競馬はどんどん楽しくなるでしょう。
しかし、競馬は運の要素が非常に大きいギャンブルであり、的中率を高めることは難しいです。
複勝で生活する場合、的中率に過度にこだわることはリスクを高める要因になりかねません。
まとめ
競馬の複勝だけで生活する注意点と的中率を挙げるコツをご紹介しました。
複勝だけで生活するには、まとまった資金と強靭なメンタルが必要です。
そして、複勝生活に必要なのは的中率ではなく、回収率です。
複勝だけの生活を実行したら、競馬を嫌いになるかもと思った方がいるかも知れません。
複勝だけの生活はかなりハードなので、不労所得といえないと思った方もいるでしょう。
いずれにしても実行する前に、じっくり検討しましょう。
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